BAH Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: BAH's robust AI and tech initiatives, combined with a $37B backlog, suggest strong long-term growth potential despite short-term volatility. High demand for AI services supports bullish sentiment.




Bearish Case: Significant dependency on government contracts, potential federal budget cuts, and recent job losses highlight vulnerabilities, risking continued stock pressure amidst volatility.




Potential Outcomes:
  • AI contract expansions support growth (45%).
  • Federal budget cuts decrease revenue (35%).
  • Mean reversion leads to modest recovery (20%).



May 25, 2025


Booz Allen Hamilton Forecast

BAH        Booz Allen Hamilton











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BAH



AMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMD  Advanced Micro Devices (0.89)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.86)


SIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIG  Signet Jewelers (0.83)


BSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSY  Bentley Systems (0.83)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BAH



UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (-0.0)


NNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NNI  Nelnet (-0.0)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.01)


YCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCL  ProShares Ultra Yen (0.01)


RVLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVLV  Revolve (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BAH



CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.71)


GENI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GENI  Genius Sports (-0.71)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.75)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.75)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.79)









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