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BAH Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: BAH's robust AI and tech initiatives, combined with a $37B backlog, suggest strong long-term growth potential despite short-term volatility. High demand for AI services supports bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: Significant dependency on government contracts, potential federal budget cuts, and recent job losses highlight vulnerabilities, risking continued stock pressure amidst volatility.



Potential Outcomes:
  • AI contract expansions support growth (45%).
  • Federal budget cuts decrease revenue (35%).
  • Mean reversion leads to modest recovery (20%).


May 25, 2025


Booz Allen Hamilton Forecast

BAH        Booz Allen Hamilton

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BAH


AMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMD  Advanced Micro Devices (0.89)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (0.88)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.86)


BSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSY  Bentley Systems (0.83)


SIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIG  Signet Jewelers (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BAH


UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (-0.0)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.01)


MAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAC  Macerich (-0.03)


DFEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFEN  Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (-0.03)


NGG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGG  National Grid (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BAH


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.7)


USAU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USAU  U.S. Gold (-0.71)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (-0.73)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.73)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.77)







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