BB Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: BlackBerry's strategic shift to cybersecurity and IoT, supported by increased call volume and strategic partnerships, could drive potential upside.




Bearish Case: Continued competition and revenue decline, coupled with unfavorable implied volatility forecasts, pose significant risks to BlackBerry's stock.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40%: Continued revenue decline due to market pressure.
  • 30%: Strategic repositioning in cybersecurity boosts growth.
  • 20%: M&A activity revitalizes performance.
  • 10%: Economic factors and volatility influence unpredictable outcomes.




Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility is strategic given the flat term structure and high call option demand. Selling ATM puts & buying OOTM puts capitalizes on volatility decline expectations with a 78% probability of profit.



April 18, 2025


BlackBerry Forecast

BB        BlackBerry











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