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BEN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: The upcoming Q4 earnings and recent trends suggest BEN may see a recovery as cost-saving measures gain traction and the dividend payout stability attracts investors, driving prices higher.



Bearish Case: Persisting market skepticism and operational challenges, coupled with high put volume, indicate potential downside risks for BEN, likely leading to further price stagnation or decline.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong Q4 earnings report: 35% chance - Positive fund performance boosts investor confidence.

2. Continued price stagnation due to net outflows: 40% chance - Market shifts toward passive investing pressure AUM.

3. Significant acquisition leads to price jump: 15% chance - Strategic mergers show positive synergies enhancing growth.

4. Regulatory challenges lead to operational delays: 10% chance - Increased costs suppress profitability.



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October 20, 2024


Franklin Resources Forecast

BEN        Franklin Resources

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Assets that tend to move strongly with BEN


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SSTK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSTK  Shutterstock (0.94)


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (0.94)


ABCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABCL  AbCellera Biologics (0.94)


TITN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TITN  Titan Machinery (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BEN


SCHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHW  Charles Schwab (0.0)


EDV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDV  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury (-0.0)


TKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TKR  Timken (-0.0)


BUD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BUD  Anheuser-Busch (0.01)


AME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AME  Ametek (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BEN


FOX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOX  Fox Corporation - (-0.87)


BOOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOOT  Boot Barn (-0.88)


PEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEG  Public Service Enterprise (-0.89)


HEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HEI  Heico (-0.89)


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (-0.89)







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