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BEN Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Recent positive price movement and higher call option volume hint at renewed investor interest, possibly leading to short-term gains.



Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatilities and mean-reverting patterns indicate potential price corrections, especially amid market uncertainty.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance of price rise due to increased calls.
  • 45% chance of decline from high volatility and mean reversion.
  • 25% chance for plateau as market awaits catalysts.



Trading Oracle:
Bearish Short Volatility: The flat term structure and high implied volatility suggest exploiting potential price stabilization. Sell near ATM calls, buy more OTM calls to capitalize on volatility skew.


May 11, 2025


Franklin Resources Forecast

BEN        Franklin Resources

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BEN


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (0.86)


MTW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTW  Manitowoc Co. (0.85)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (0.84)


IPGP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IPGP  IPG Photonics (0.82)


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BEN


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (0.0)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.01)


PLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLD  Prologis (-0.01)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.01)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BEN


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (-0.66)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.67)


NEON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEON  Neonode (-0.68)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.71)


AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (-0.76)







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