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BKNG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong revenue growth, strategic expansions in flights, and a competitive moat bolster BKNG’s long-term potential. The return surface shows frequent positive outcomes.

Bearish Case: High market valuations, regulatory risks, and economic headwinds could hinder BKNG’s short-term growth, as suggested by high implied volatility peaks in stress scenarios.

Potential Outcomes: 60%: Continued growth with robust financials.
30%: Regulatory and competitive pressures.
10%: Global economic downturn impacts demand.

June 16, 2025

Booking Forecast

BKNG Booking

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BKNG

RCL Royal Caribbean (0.92)

AXON Axon Enterprise (0.92)

ARKF ARK Fintech Innovation (0.91)

IGV BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector (0.91)

DAVE Dave (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BKNG

KO Coca-Cola (0.0)

FLYW Flywire (0.01)

HES Hess (0.01)

TTD Trade Desk (0.02)

MIDU Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3x Shares (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BKNG

CURE Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares (-0.78)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.8)

CNC Centene (-0.83)

OGN Organon (-0.83)

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.89)

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