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BOND Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Optimistic for BOND as Fed cuts rates could drive bond prices higher, supported by historical gains during similar monetary policies. Low implied volatility signals a potential rally upwards.

Bearish Case: Bearish sentiment arises from concerns over inflation and fiscal pressures possibly hindering BOND performance. Market volatility suggests the risk of significant price declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Fed rate cuts help BOND rally (60%).

2. Persistent inflation prompts yield spikes, pressuring bond prices (20%).

3. Monitored economic slowdown leads to stagnant growth (15%).

4. Unexpected geopolitical tensions increase market volatility (5%). Stats informed by historical price return surfaces.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish stance by implementing a debit spread with BOND 92.00 and 93.00 C options to leverage anticipated rally. Set a target for a 70% probability of profit. Monitor upcoming Fed dates for further adjustments.

November 20, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BOND

VCLT Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond (0.91)

LTPZ PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded (0.91)

EXR Extra Space Storage (0.85)

NNN National Retail Properties (0.82)

INFY Infosys (0.8)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BOND

UAL United Airlines (-0.0)

CAPR Capricor Therapeutics (-0.01)

BWA BorgWarner (0.01)

BAX Baxter International (0.01)

WHR Whirlpool (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BOND

CDLX Cardlytics (-0.65)

BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy (-0.65)

CFLT Confluent (-0.67)

LFMD LifeMD (-0.69)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.93)

BOND News over Time

Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.