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BOOM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential for strategic partnerships and AI involvement could spur BOOM's growth despite current trends.

Bearish Case: BOOM faces persistent regulatory challenges and negative sentiment, likely leading to further declines.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of DMCA issues causing declines, 35% for stability, 25% for potential rally due to partnerships.

Trading Oracle: Trade short-volatility credit spreads given flat term structure and high implied vol. Target March expiry with 7.50/5.00 puts. Favor neutral to bearish due to persistent regulatory risks and market sentiment. Watch closely for any volatility spikes for adjustments.

December 24, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BOOM

XRX Xerox (0.91)

LEA Lear (0.91)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (0.9)

TRIP TripAdvisor (0.87)

MGM MGM Resorts International (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BOOM

OGN Organon (0.01)

OLED Universal Display (-0.01)

S Sprint (-0.02)

TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific (-0.02)

APH Amphenol (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BOOM

BSX Boston Scientific (-0.87)

ERJ Embraer (-0.88)

ARGT Global X Funds - Global X MSCI Argentina (-0.88)

VIRT Virtu Financial (-0.89)

LRN Stride (-0.89)

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