BX Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Blackstone's robust international expansion, notably in Japan, coupled with strategic acquisitions like TXNM Energy, suggests strong future growth potential.




Bearish Case: Rising interest rates and real estate exposure could pressure profitability. Flat implied volatility and recent price action indicate potential for stagnation.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Expansion success in Japan: 40%
  • Pressure from interest rates: 35%
  • Stagnation: 25%



May 24, 2025


Blackstone Forecast

BX        Blackstone











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BX



PNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNC  PNC Financial Services (0.96)


RF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RF  Regions Financial (0.95)


RVLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVLV  Revolve (0.92)


FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (0.92)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BX



ODP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODP  ODP (-0.01)


QS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QS  QuantumScape (-0.01)


LASR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LASR  nLIGHT (-0.02)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (-0.02)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BX



POWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   POWW  AMMO (-0.53)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.56)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.66)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.68)


STNE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNE  StoneCo (-0.71)









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