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BX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BX benefits from strategic investments in growing markets like data centers in Asia, coupled with strong demand for private assets. Overall corporate prowess supports value creation.

Bearish Case: Rising interest rates and high put option volume suggest potential downside, driven by pressure on real estate markets and profitability, alongside economic uncertainties.

Potential Outcomes: 45% growth via strategic investments and strong alternative asset demand.
35% chance of modest returns due to market stagnation and macro headwinds.
20% decline from heightened interest rate risks and real estate exposure.

April 25, 2025

Blackstone Forecast

BX Blackstone

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BX

MTB M & T (0.97)

COLB Columbia Banking System (0.97)

KKR KKR (0.96)

NOW ServiceNow (0.96)

PNC PNC Financial Services (0.95)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BX

FLNC Fluence Energy (-0.01)

ENVX Enovix (0.01)

TDOC Teladoc Health (0.02)

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.02)

DDD 3D Systems (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BX

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.77)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.77)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.79)

DG Dollar General (-0.88)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.88)

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