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BXP Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Stable implied volatility suggests a return to mean pricing. BXP’s urban holdings may benefit from an urban revival and gradual office reoccupation.



Bearish Case: Prolonged remote work risks and high options volatility highlight potential revenue pressures and persistent vacancy challenges for BXP.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Return-to-office trend accelerates (40%)
  • Remote work reduces demand (35%)
  • New construction increases competition (15%)
  • Economic factors impact occupancy (10%)



Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit call spread on BXP, targeting a June expiry. Buy the 75.00 C and sell the 80.00 C. Benefit from the flat term structure while exploiting moderate implied volatility to capture potential price recovery. This strategy offers a balanced risk-reward, capturing upward moves while limiting downside exposure.


January 26, 2025


Boston Properties Forecast

BXP        Boston Properties

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BXP


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.94)


ICF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICF  BTC iShares Cohen & Steers REIT (0.91)


COMM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMM  CommScope (0.9)


SHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHW  Sherwin-Williams (0.9)


EPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPR  EPR Properties (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BXP


GIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIS  General Mills (0.0)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.01)


RIOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIOT  Riot Blockchain (-0.01)


TMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMO  Thermo Fisher Scientific (0.01)


BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BXP


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (-0.79)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.79)


ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.81)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.82)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.85)







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