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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: If CAP-1002 gains FDA approval, we can expect a significant price surge, fueled by unmet needs in DMD treatment and recent positive trial results. Historical returns support high price gains over time.



Bearish Case: If FDA approval is delayed or failed, we could see a substantial price drop, exacerbated by higher implied volatility in puts and negative market sentiment influencing CAPR sharply downward.



Potential Outcomes:

1. FDA approval of CAP-1002 (40%) – price surge projected.

2. Delay in clinical trial results (25%) – increased volatility expected.

3. Strategic buyout (20%) – minor price increase.

4. Clinical trial failure (15%) – severe price drop predicted.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish long debit spread using CAPR 12/20/2024 $20 calls and selling $25 calls. High implied volatility indicates favorable risk-reward, targeting FDA approval catalysts within 47 days. Historical performance suggests a good probability of profit, trimming downside risk while maximizing upside potential.


November 03, 2024


Capricor Therapeutics Forecast

CAPR        Capricor Therapeutics

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