CBOE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: CBOE's expansion into cryptocurrency ETFs and favorable SEC regulations are expected to drive growth. Elevated implied volatility suggests traders anticipate market movements, boosting trading volumes and revenues.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and insider sales indicate market caution. A flat term structure could signal stagnant growth, while the potential for regulatory challenges remains a concern, limiting upside.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 60%: Growth from new crypto product launches bolsters trading volume.
  • 40%: Insider sales and flat volatility lead to stagnation.
  • 30%: Regulatory shifts impact market confidence adversely.



March 29, 2025


Cboe Global Markets Forecast

CBOE        Cboe Global Markets











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CBOE



SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (0.87)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.86)


HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (0.86)


PNW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNW  Pinnacle West (0.84)


CB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CB  Chubb (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CBOE



BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.0)


BAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAX  Baxter International (0.0)


IR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IR  Ingersoll-Rand (-0.0)


SCHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHW  Charles Schwab (-0.01)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CBOE



ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (-0.74)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (-0.74)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.74)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.77)


INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (-0.85)









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