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CBOE Forecast



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: CBOE could see gains as new product offerings and recent SEC approvals for Bitcoin ETF options attract increased trading volumes, leveraging heightened market interest in derivatives.



Bearish Case: Concerns over insider selling and an uncertain leadership environment could stifle CBOE's growth, particularly if market volatility remains low and trading volumes drop.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% - Strong growth from new product offerings and Bitcoin ETF options.
  • 30% - Decreased trading volumes due to regulatory pressures and insider selling.
  • 20% - Consolidation phase if market volatility remains muted.
  • 10% - Rapid decline in confidence due to execution risks in new initiatives.



Trading Oracle: Favor a bullish credit spread on CBOE by selling $195 calls and buying $205 calls, capitalizing on the current high implied volatility. This strategy aligns with the expected uptick in trading activity and offers a favorable risk/reward ratio with 75% win probability.


December 21, 2024


Cboe Global Markets Forecast

CBOE        Cboe Global Markets

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CBOE


SHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHW  Sherwin-Williams (0.85)


LUMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LUMN  Lumen (0.84)


CLPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLPT  ClearPoint Neuro (0.83)


GDYN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GDYN  Grid Dynamics (0.83)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CBOE


XPOF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XPOF  Xponential Fitness (0.0)


BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (0.01)


AMPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMPL  Amplitude (-0.01)


UROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UROY  Uranium Royalty (-0.01)


MPW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPW  Medical Properties (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CBOE


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.78)


CDLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CDLX  Cardlytics (-0.78)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.78)


LRCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRCX  Lam Research (-0.82)


SIMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIMO  Silicon Motion Technology (-0.83)


CBOE News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.







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