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CBU Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: CBU’s strong community ties and consistent dividends enhance investor confidence. Positive sentiment and potential loan growth could drive modest price appreciation.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent negative price trends suggest risk of further declines. Economic challenges and regulatory uncertainty may constrain growth.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Revenue growth boosts price 30% (40%).
  • Stagnation, limited move (35%).
  • Economic pressures cause 20% drop (25%).


April 13, 2025


Community Bank System Forecast

CBU        Community Bank System

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CBU


KBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KBE  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR S&P (0.97)


TFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TFC  Truist Financial (0.96)


AX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AX  Axos Financial (0.95)


PNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNC  PNC Financial Services (0.94)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CBU


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.0)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.01)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (0.01)


HBM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HBM  Hudbay Minerals (0.01)


NOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOG  Northern Oil and Gas (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CBU


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.69)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.72)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.76)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.76)


DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (-0.83)







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