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CBU Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CBU’s strong historical returns and improving market trends suggest potential rebound, supported by loan growth and low costs.

Bearish Case: High current implied volatility and regulatory pressures could hinder CBU’s growth, leading to potential declines.

Potential Outcomes: Revenue growth materializes, driving a 30% rally (40% chance). Continued stagnation leads to modest price movements (35%). Economic conditions worsen, causing a 20% drop (25%).

Trading Oracle: Pursue debit spreads (Helium Long Volatility) given the elevated implied volatility. Focus on bullish positions like buying CBU 05/16/2025 65.00 Call and selling 70.00 Call. Anticipate a 15% rise within 5 months, leveraging loan growth and low costs. High reward:risk ratio with volatility edge.

January 01, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CBU

ZION Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.95)

MC Moelis (0.9)

RF Regions Financial (0.89)

EVGO EVgo (0.88)

ORI Old Republic International (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CBU

SGRY Surgery (-0.0)

NOVA Sunnova Energy International (-0.01)

VDE Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Energy (-0.01)

UWMC UWM Holdings Corporation (0.01)

SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CBU

ALGN Align Technology (-0.76)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.77)

XRX Xerox (-0.79)

LRCX Lam Research (-0.81)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.87)

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Trading Strategies

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Short Volatility

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.