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CCEP Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: CCEP's strategic positioning in emerging markets, paired with a robust brand overhaul post-COVID, suggests a resilient demand rebound. Recent positive supply chain adjustments further indicate growth potential, supported by implied volatility trends remaining steady.



Bearish Case: CCEP faces significant market challenges amid increasing competition and potential regulatory scrutiny, which may dampen growth. Moreover, current high implied volatility levels signal market concerns regarding earnings, reflecting skepticism about future performance.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued sales growth (+60%).

2. Market saturation impacts margins (-20%).

3. Strengthened brand initiatives post-holiday season (+40%).

4. Regulatory pressures slowdown growth (-30%).



Trading Oracle: Implement a bull call spread; buy CCEP February 80.00 calls while selling 85.00 calls. This positions for upward movement as implied volatility stabilizes, targeting short-term price recovery with limited risk exposure and a favorable reward ratio, based on current market dynamics.


November 26, 2024


Coca-Cola European Forecast

CCEP        Coca-Cola European

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CCEP


PG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PG  Procter & Gamble (0.94)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.93)


RMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMD  Resmed (0.93)


DVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVA  DaVita (0.93)


HEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HEI  Heico (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CCEP


TTEK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTEK  Tetra Tech (0.0)


STRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STRA  Strategic Education (-0.01)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (-0.01)


CHTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHTR  Charter Communications (0.01)


FOSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOSL  Fossil (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CCEP


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.87)


JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (-0.9)


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (-0.9)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.9)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)







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