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CCEP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong brand positioning, innovation, and sustainability efforts could boost market appeal, despite current recalls.

Bearish Case: Product recalls due to safety concerns and increased put volume signal potential consumer trust issues, dampening growth.

Potential Outcomes: Robust Q1 2025 sales growth: 50% chance
Significant recall impact: 30% chance
Market volatility increase: 20% chance

Trading Oracle: Given backwardation in volatility, consider a bullish debit spread by purchasing April $80 calls and selling $85 calls. This captures potential upside from recovery and lower implied volatility. Rolling into June if needed can hedge any downside.

January 31, 2025

Coca-Cola European Forecast

CCEP Coca-Cola European

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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