CIBR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: As cybersecurity threats escalate, demand for CIBR will rise, driving prices higher. The current low implied volatility suggests a potential price recovery, especially if market sentiment shifts favorably towards tech investments.


Bearish Case: Increased market volatility and potential economic downturns could adversely affect CIBR, especially if confidence wanes in tech stocks. The current market uncertainty might cause further downside pressure on prices.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued uptrend: 30%.

2. Short-term mean reversion leading to a bounce back: 35%.

3. Downtrend due to market volatility or external shocks: 35%. Estimates consider historical patterns and implied volatilities.


Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by buying the $56 call and selling the $58 call expiring in about 22 days. This captures potential upside with low volatility at a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Market odds of profit stand at 28% with slight AI edge.


July 26, 2024


First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III - First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity Forecast

CIBR      First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III - First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CIBR



INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.95)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (0.95)


PTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTC  PTC (0.92)


IBM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IBM  International Business Machines (0.92)


CHKP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHKP  Check Point Software Technolgies (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CIBR



HIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIVE  HIVE Blockchain (0.0)


ARLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARLP  Alliance Resource (-0.0)


PGNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGNY  Progyny (0.0)


LULU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LULU  Lululemon Athletica inc. (0.0)


HSIC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSIC  Henry Schein (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CIBR



SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.83)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.85)


SARK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SARK  Tuttle Capital Short Innovation (-0.87)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.88)


DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXD  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.89)





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