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CMA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CMA's strong dividend and mean-reverting trend signal resilience. Strategic moves could bolster growth amid muted loan expectations.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and legal challenges threaten CMA, potentially exacerbating deposit pressures and market uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes: CMA shows 35% chance of decline due to legal issues; 40% mean reversion stabilizing prices; 25% growth from strategic initiatives.

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February 25, 2025

Comerica Forecast

CMA Comerica

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CMA

DDM ProShares Ultra Dow30 (0.94)

RVLV Revolve (0.92)

DPST Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares (0.92)

CINF Cincinnati Financial (0.91)

SPYV SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CMA

CZR Caesars Entertainment (0.0)

TYO Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.01)

DNN Denison Mines (-0.02)

UUUU Energy Fuels (-0.02)

RMBS Rambus (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CMA

CLW Clearwater Paper (-0.79)

FRO Frontline (-0.79)

VAL Valaris (-0.79)

BIIB Biogen (-0.83)

ASML New York Shares (-0.84)

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