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COIN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Flat volatility term structure and increased call volume suggest potential upside due to anticipated regulatory improvements and strong trading interest.

Bearish Case: Data breach and ongoing regulatory probes enhance uncertainty, potentially leading to decreased investor confidence and price volatility.

Potential Outcomes: Regulatory Clarity (40%): Could boost COIN's value.
Continuing Legal Challenges (35%): May dampen price.
Data Breach Fallout (25%): Possible impacts on investor trust.

May 17, 2025

Coinbase Forecast

COIN Coinbase

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COIN

PCOR Procore (0.82)

VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide (0.79)

WCC Wesco International (0.78)

LYFT Lyft (0.76)

DDOG Datadog (0.76)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COIN

PHM PulteGroup (-0.01)

MCHI BTC iShares MSCI China (-0.01)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (0.01)

BBY Best Buy (-0.01)

OMC Omnicom Group (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COIN

VOD Vodafone (-0.66)

ED Consolidated Edison (-0.67)

YCL ProShares Ultra Yen (-0.71)

BIV Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond (-0.77)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.78)

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