COIN Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Rising COIN call volume and bullish risk, plus potential favorable SEC decision, signal optimism.




Bearish Case: Volatility spikes, SEC scrutiny, and a 19.8% price drop in 60 days undermine confidence.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Favorable SEC ruling boosts COIN (60%).

2. Market stabilization maintains current levels (30%).

3. Regulatory setbacks hurt COIN (10%).




Trading Oracle: Opt for long debit spreads on COIN due to high implied volatility and bullish market sentiment. Focus on near-term expiries as volatility is expected to remain, aligning with hedging strategies against potential downside risks. This setup enhances risk/reward balance given COIN's current market dynamics.



January 10, 2025


Coinbase Forecast

COIN        Coinbase











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COIN



GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (0.88)


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (0.83)


SCHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHW  Charles Schwab (0.72)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (0.69)


TALK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TALK  Talkspace (0.67)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COIN



CWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWH  Camping World (-0.0)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.0)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.01)


BOIL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOIL  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.01)


NINE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NINE  Nine Energy Service (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COIN



LCID Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LCID  Lucid (-0.57)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (-0.58)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.59)


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (-0.63)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (-0.74)









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