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CPS Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: CPS’s pivot towards EV components and higher call volume could bolster growth. Implied volatility supports potential upside moves.



Bearish Case: Debt burden and flat IV trend indicate ongoing financial pressure, risking further decline if market sentiment wanes.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. 30% chance of successful EV component transition driving growth.
  2. 40% probability of continued struggle due to debt.
  3. 30% chance of moderate recovery due to restructuring.



Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread: buy the $17.50 call, sell the $20 call, targeting June 2025. Leverage the flat IV and recent high call volume for a potential upside. Expect a 60% ROI under bullish conditions with minimal downside risk.


January 24, 2025


Cooper-Standard Forecast

CPS        Cooper-Standard

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CPS


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (0.64)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.63)


YELP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YELP  Yelp (0.62)


CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (0.61)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (0.6)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CPS


ZION Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZION  Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.0)


NEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEP  NextEra Energy (0.0)


TAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAN  Invesco Solar (-0.0)


IRBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRBT  Irobot (-0.0)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CPS


GEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GEL  Genesis Energy (-0.43)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.43)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.45)


LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (-0.52)


BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (-0.59)







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