CPS Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: CPS might see recovery driven by strategic improvements and stabilization trends in the automotive industry, benefiting from high call option volumes.




Bearish Case: Persistent high debt and restructuring challenges continue to pressure CPS amidst market instability, augmenting downside risk with elevated implied volatility.




Potential Outcomes: 12% rise with strategy execution benefits; 25% fall from debt and restructuring issues; stable result in 63%.




Trading Oracle: Consider a long volatility position with debit spreads. Buy $15 call, sell $17.50 call for July 2025. Elevated implied volatility and high call volume suggest limited down risk. Potential 50% ROI if recovery occurs, exploiting time decay.



February 22, 2025


Cooper-Standard Forecast

CPS        Cooper-Standard











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FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.62)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (0.6)


PBPB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBPB  Potbelly (0.59)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CPS



TRUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRUP  Trupanion (0.0)


USMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USMV  BTC iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor (0.0)


PSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSN  Parsons (0.0)


WIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WIX  Wix.com (0.0)


SCHB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHB  Schwab Strategic Trust - Schwab U.S. Broad Market (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CPS



AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.47)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (-0.47)


AMRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMRC  Ameresco (-0.54)


BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (-0.57)


FSLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSLR  First Solar (-0.59)









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