CR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Crane has demonstrated strong growth, with bullish risk exceeding bearish risk by 60%. Historical return data shows a high likelihood of positive returns over various holding periods.


Bearish Case: Crane faces potential regulatory and safety-related headwinds, indicated by high implied volatility on out-of-the-money puts. This suggests market caution and potential for downside risk.


Potential Outcomes: 60% Crane continues strong growth on market confidence, 30% regulatory/safety issues hinder performance, 10% market-neutral performance balancing growth and risks.


Trading Oracle: Trade long debit spreads with August expiry. Buy CR $150 calls, sell CR $160 calls. This strategy leverages bullish sentiment, managing risk with high implied volatility advantage. Positive expected returns, attractive risk-reward profile.


July 20, 2024


Crane Forecast

CR      Crane











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SKYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKYW  Skywest (0.97)


PI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PI  Impinj (0.97)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CR



LTPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LTPZ  PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded (0.0)


PNW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNW  Pinnacle West (0.0)


MT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MT  New York Shares (0.01)


SONY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SONY  Sony Group Corporation (0.01)


BXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BXP  Boston Properties (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CR



SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.94)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.94)


WW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WW  WW International (-0.94)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.95)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.95)





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