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CRL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CRL's undervaluation and potential FDA response improvements, combined with decreasing volatility over time, suggest upside recovery potential.

Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility, flat recent price action, and current backwardation indicate continued market skepticism and downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: Resolution of FDA issues boosts stock (50%), continued high volatility affects price stability negatively (40%), moderate growth if undervaluation corrects (10%).

Trading Oracle: Given high implied volatility and backwardation, consider a short-term credit spread strategy. Sell March 2025 puts to capitalize on premium decay. This exploits current uncertainty and bearish sentiment while offering a favorable risk-reward ratio. Target expiration in three months.

February 16, 2025

Charles River Laboratories International Forecast

CRL Charles River Laboratories International

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