CSGP Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: CSGP's recent strategic acquisitions and strong institutional backing suggest significant growth potential, backed by a robust long-term revenue trajectory. This aligns with analyst upgrades and increasing market interest, possibly resulting in price recovery above recent lows.


Bearish Case: Despite potential for recovery, ongoing legal issues, high retail vacancies, and insider selling create substantial risks. The flat-term structure and low trading volume indicate reduced investor confidence, potentially leading to stagnant or declining prices.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 45% chance of rebound due to Q3 results reflecting strong sales growth;

2. 35% chance of sideways movement as market absorbs volatility;

3. 20% chance of decline linked to mounting legal and operational challenges.


Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish strategy by initiating a debit call spread on CSGP, focusing on $80 strikes expiring in 30 days. This aligns with the upward trends in implied volatility and market sentiment, positioning for potential gains with minimized risk exposure.


July 25, 2024


Costar Group Forecast

CSGP      Costar Group











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Assets that tend to move strongly with CSGP



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XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.17)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.09)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.15)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CSGP



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.09)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.15)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.17)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.3)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CSGP



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.3)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.17)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.09)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.15)





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