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CUK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CUK's strong recovery in booking demand and cost management could drive revenue growth, especially as cruising normalizes post-pandemic.

Bearish Case: High debt levels and recent negative incidents (violence on ships) may hinder brand reputation and limit profitability despite recovering demand.

Potential Outcomes: 40%: Strong demand drives revenue growth.
30%: High debt pressures margins.
20%: Negative incidents impact brand perception.
10%: Economic downturn affects travel spending.

May 03, 2025

Carnival Forecast

CUK Carnival

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VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.93)

RCL Royal Caribbean (0.93)

HBAN Huntington Bancshares (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CUK

ETR Entergy (0.0)

IDN Intellicheck (0.0)

FCEL Fuelcell Energy (0.01)

DELL Dell (0.01)

NIO NIO (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CUK

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.66)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.67)

XP XP (-0.69)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.74)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.75)

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