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Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Chevron's strategic diversification and high dividend yield present a strong investment case amid geopolitical tensions. This, coupled with steady oil prices and low implied volatility, fuels optimism.



Bearish Case: Regulatory challenges, environmental scrutiny, and a flat price trend weigh heavily on Chevron. Persistent legal challenges and the potential overturning of established frameworks could further strain stock performance.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40%: Chevron thrives on strategic diversification and oil gains.
  • 30%: Regulatory changes impede growth.
  • 20%: Price stability with low volatility.
  • 10%: Environmental pressures and legal challenges emerge.



Trading Oracle: With stable oil prices and moderate implied volatility, Bullish Short Volatility is favored. It aligns with Chevron’s steady dividends and strategic positioning. Low IV suggests profitability through OOTM put sales.


April 18, 2025


Chevron Forecast

CVX        Chevron

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