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DAC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DAC could benefit from strong fundamentals and recent price momentum, supported by increasing call volume and robust strategic expansion in shipping.

Bearish Case: Cyclical volatility in shipping and economic uncertainties may lead to adverse price movements. High implied volatility in short-term options suggests market caution.

Potential Outcomes: 10% Major price rally from shipping demand rebound.
30% Moderate gains due to strategic growth.
60% Price stagnation or decline from economic factors.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread: Buy July 95C and sell 100C. Capture medium-term upside leveraging strong fundamentals amidst short-term market caution. Implied volatility allows for high reward:risk ratio.

February 13, 2025

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