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DAR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Recent trends indicate increasing demand for sustainable products, aligning well with DAR's focus on renewables. The implied volatility suggests market participants anticipate positive news and while near-term fluctuations exist, long-term growth appears robust.



Bearish Case: Persisting high operational costs combined with high implied volatility could suppress margins. If economic conditions worsen or competition intensifies, DAR could face downward pressure in its stock price despite existing demand.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Steady revenue growth (50%);

2. Margin compression from increased costs (30%);

3. Regulatory changes favoring sustainable practices (20%) leading to upside.



Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a bullish debit spread by buying $40 calls and selling $45 calls (December expiration). This leverages expected volatility with a defined risk of loss, targeting a 200% potential return if price action aligns with market sentiment. Adjust dynamically based on market movements.


November 13, 2024


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DAR        Darling Ingredients

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DAR


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (0.85)


RICK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RICK  RCI Hospitality (0.85)


MOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOS  Mosaic (0.85)


VREX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VREX  Varex Imaging (0.84)


DIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIN  Dine Brands (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DAR


MRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRK  Merck (-0.0)


IVZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVZ  Invesco Ltd (0.0)


MUB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUB  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares National Muni Bond (-0.0)


CAH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAH  Cardinal Health (0.0)


AME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AME  Ametek (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DAR


UL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UL  Unilever (-0.77)


HEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HEI  Heico (-0.78)


PG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PG  Procter & Gamble (-0.79)


OLLI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLLI  Ollies Bargain Outlet (-0.82)


EPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPI  WisdomTree India Earnings (-0.82)







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