ARVN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Arvinas' collaboration on breast cancer treatment and high demand for call options suggest potential breakthroughs, leading to a significant price surge as the market adjusts to new medical advancements.




Bearish Case: The biotech sector's regulatory challenges and ARVN's unstable historical prices suggest potential downturns if anticipated clinical results fall short, given excessive volatility.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 70% chance of price rise with successful trials (up 40%).

2. 45% risk of decline from regulatory delays (down 30%).

3. 20% impact from market volatility, causing fluctuations (±20%).




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January 22, 2025


Arvinas Forecast

ARVN        Arvinas











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ARVN



LWLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LWLG  Lightwave Logic (0.92)


TRIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRIP  TripAdvisor (0.88)


SRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRG  Seritage Growth Properties (0.88)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.87)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ARVN



FCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCX  Freeport-McMoRan (0.0)


FMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FMC  FMC (0.01)


DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (0.01)


GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (0.01)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARVN



GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (-0.82)


FRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRPT  Freshpet (-0.82)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.83)


CRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRS  Carpenter Technology (-0.83)


VIRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIRT  Virtu Financial (-0.85)









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