ARVN Forecast


Bullish Case: The exclusive license agreement with Novartis and potential milestone payments of up to $1.01 billion places ARVN in a strong position for revenue growth. Positive clinical trial results and strategic collaborations further validate their innovative platform.


Bearish Case: Flat recent price action, insider selling, and low trading volumes suggest limited short-term interest. The volatile biotech sector and potential regulatory setbacks can lead to significant downward pressure.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 70% chance of 50%+ price rise due to milestone payments from Novartis [Endpoints].

2. 40% chance of 30%+ price fall due to regulatory or clinical trial delays [zacks.com].

3. 30% chance of moderate price fluctuations due to general market volatility [Helium].


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May 21, 2024


Arvinas Forecast

ARVN        Arvinas
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











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