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Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Expansion into digital banking and restructuring efforts could boost earnings. The flat term structure and bullish sentiment on social media support potential upside.



Bearish Case: Legal challenges, compliance issues, and economic uncertainties persist. High implied volatility suggests ongoing risks. Regulatory pressures could stabilize returns.



Potential Outcomes: Expect moderate growth (60%) due to restructuring and market adaptation. Legal setbacks (20%) and economic downturn (20%) may challenge stability.



Trading Oracle: Deploy a bullish debit spread with long volatility, buying $20 calls and selling $21 calls, expiring in 58 days. This harnesses high volume, leverages flat volatility, and aligns with ongoing digital expansion efforts. High delta ensures positive edge and reward:risk ratio.


January 24, 2025


Deutsche Forecast

DB        Deutsche

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