DB Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: DB benefits from strategic global expansion and digital initiatives, with implied volatility showing stability and potential upside Helium.




Bearish Case: Legal issues and unresolved compliance failures may continue to threaten DB, with potential volatility spikes and investor skepticism Helium.




Potential Outcomes: 38% chance of resolving legal issues boosting price; 35% chance of regulatory challenges hindering growth.




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by buying $17 calls and selling $18 calls, expiring in 60 days. This exploits the flat term structure and current high delta, with potential for 60% profitability. Maximize edge by aligning expiration with strategic announcements.



December 24, 2024


Deutsche Forecast

DB        Deutsche











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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DB



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BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.8)









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