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DECK Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: DECK's strong brand, particularly HOKA's explosive growth, suggests upside potential. The implied volatility decline indicates decreasing market uncertainty, which could allow the stock to recover from its recent drop.



Bearish Case: The drop in DECK’s price and missed earnings forecasts create a challenging landscape. Elevated implied volatility and mean-reverting historical price trends highlight potential risk of further declines.



Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of stabilization with mean reversion. 50% chance of continued decline amid macro uncertainties. 20% chance of bullish recovery due to brand strength.



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May 27, 2025


Deckers Outdoor Forecast

DECK        Deckers Outdoor

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DECK


ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (0.91)


CCCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCCS  CCC Intelligent (0.8)


VAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAC  Marriott Vacations Worldwide (0.8)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.8)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DECK


IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (0.0)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.01)


PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (-0.01)


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (0.01)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DECK


AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (-0.72)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.79)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.79)


ED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ED  Consolidated Edison (-0.83)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (-0.83)







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