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DHR Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Danaher's diverse portfolio and effective M&A integration boost future growth prospects, supported by a recent upgrade and low valuation.

Bearish Case: Biotech revenue declines and legal uncertainties continue to weigh heavily, undermining confidence and potential recovery.

Potential Outcomes: Abcam integration success (55%). Biotech revenue drop (60%). Legal issues impacting growth (30%). Market recovery in water quality (40%).

Trading Oracle: Consider a bearish credit spread. Sell $245 calls, buy $250 calls for February expiration, capitalizing on current backwardation. This leverages low volatility, balanced by strong downside limits and modest contagion risk from biotech declines.

December 27, 2024

Danaher Forecast

DHR Danaher

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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MPWR Monolithic Power System (0.79)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.74)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DHR

BYND Beyond Meat (-0.0)

GOOG Alphabet (-0.0)

GOOGL Alphabet (0.0)

W Wayfair (-0.0)

LYV Live Nation Entertainment (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DHR

LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. (-0.68)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.69)

WHR Whirlpool (-0.69)

ALGT Allegiant Travel (-0.7)

PLBY PLBY (-0.77)

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