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DHS Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DHS has historically stable returns, with low implied volatility suggesting continued investor confidence. High dividend demand supports price resilience.

Bearish Case: Political controversies and high implied volatility in put options indicate potential downside. Recent price drop adds to negative sentiment risks.

Potential Outcomes: Moderate price recovery (40%)
Hold near current levels due to stability (30%)
Further decline from political fallout (30%)

Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish credit spread using DHS 93.00 C and selling 94.00 C. Low IV indicates stability, supporting a high probability-of-profit. Short-term (1-2 months) focus optimizes potential gains with minimal risk.

January 02, 2025

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DHS WisdomTree Trust - WisdomTree U.S. High Dividend

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DHS

SPYV SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.97)

UNM Unum (0.97)

ORI Old Republic International (0.96)

MLI Mueller Industries (0.96)

RF Regions Financial (0.96)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DHS

PRVA Privia Health (-0.0)

BHF Brighthouse Financial (-0.0)

DDOG Datadog (0.01)

COO Cooper Companies (-0.01)

ATUS Altice USA (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DHS

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.88)

DLTR Dollar Tree (-0.89)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.89)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.95)

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