DOW Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: DOW's historical mean reversion supports potential recovery, with call volume slightly outpacing puts, hinting at cautious optimism despite current challenges.




Bearish Case: Continued geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties amplify downside risks, with Helium forecasts indicating elevated volatility, supporting potential declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Geopolitical risks persist (40%)
  • Economic data disappoints (30%)
  • Steady recovery (20%)
  • Unexpected positive earnings (10%)




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June 20, 2025










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DOW



COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.96)


KSS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KSS  Kohl's (0.96)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.95)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.95)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DOW



DVY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVY  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Select Dividend (0.0)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (-0.01)


XLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLK  Technology Select Sector SPDR (-0.01)


QLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QLD  ProShares Ultra QQQ (-0.02)


RVLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVLV  Revolve (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DOW



CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.86)


VRSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRSN  Verisign (-0.87)


SAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAP  Sap SE (-0.88)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.89)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.92)









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