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DOW Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Positive investor sentiment fueled by potential trade resolution with China, combined with mean-reverting price action and call option volume advantage, suggests upward momentum. Historically, DOW performs well after periods of volatility.

Bearish Case: Despite mean reversion, backwardation signals future uncertainty. Economic data reveal inflationary pressures; Trump's policy actions add risk. DOW's negative forecast and low trading volume heighten bearish prospects.

Potential Outcomes: Improved trade relationships bolster DOW: 45%.
Economic instability and policy uncertainty drive volatility: 40%.
Inflation sustains pressure on market: 15%.

May 20, 2025

Dow Forecast

DOW Dow

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DOW

ASH Ashland (0.97)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (0.96)

CVE Cenovus Energy (0.95)

XRX Xerox (0.95)

AEO American Eagle Outfitters (0.95)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DOW

ACMR ACM Research (0.01)

BA Boeing (-0.01)

RYAAY Ryanair (-0.02)

APPN Appian (0.02)

RPM RPM International (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DOW

EOSE Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.86)

COMP Compass (-0.86)

UNM Unum (-0.89)

ORI Old Republic International (-0.89)

LRN Stride (-0.9)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.