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DOW Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: A potential rebound in the DOW is supported by decreasing short-term volatility and mean reversion tendencies. Robust corporate earnings and anticipated policy shifts could stabilize markets.

Bearish Case: Heightened geopolitical tensions and recent sharp market declines indicate ongoing risks. Elevated put volumes and volatility backwardation suggest increased bearish sentiment could persist.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of stabilization as tensions ease and earnings impress.
50% chance of continued volatility due to geopolitical risks and economic uncertainty.
20% chance of significant decline if tensions escalate further.

April 23, 2025

Dow Forecast

DOW Dow

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DOW

ADNT Adient (0.97)

GES Guess (0.96)

AEO American Eagle Outfitters (0.95)

MUR Murphy Oil (0.95)

CGC Canopy Growth (0.95)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DOW

APPN Appian (-0.01)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.01)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (0.02)

RMBS Rambus (-0.03)

FLR Fluor (-0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DOW

ORI Old Republic International (-0.89)

ESLT Elbit Systems (-0.89)

LRN Stride (-0.9)

FOXA Fox Corporation - (-0.92)

ORLY O'Reilly Automotive (-0.93)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.