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DOX Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Amdocs' strong positioning in telecom and AI investments could drive growth. Recent positive return likelihoods and lower implied volatilities suggest upside potential.



Bearish Case: High put volume indicates potential downside risk, with dependence on key clients like AT&T, and mean-reverting tendencies highlight stagnation threats.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance of moderate growth from AI/cloud expansions.
  • 30% potential for price stagnation as market adapts.
  • 20% risk of decline due to market saturation or client loss.



Trading Oracle: Sell out-of-the-money put credit spreads expiring in 60 days to capitalize on current mean-reversion and stabilizing implied volatility. Focus on $85 strikes to exploit premium decay, anticipating DOX to remain stable or slightly appreciate. Increased probability of profit due to high put trade volume and volatility levels.


February 06, 2025


Amdocs Forecast

DOX        Amdocs

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ODFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODFL  Old Dominion Freight Line (0.8)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DOX


ZION Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZION  Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.0)


RGLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGLD  Royal Gold (0.0)


AFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFL  Aflac (-0.0)


UAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAL  United Airlines (0.0)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DOX


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.5)


ONTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONTO  Onto Innovation (-0.5)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.59)


BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (-0.7)


TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (-0.73)







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