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DOX Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Strong cloud and AI investments are likely to drive growth, as evidenced by potential positive returns over multiple holding periods in the return surface.



Bearish Case: High put volume indicates caution; combined with mean-reverting tendencies, this suggests potential for stagnation or decline amidst economic uncertainties.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth driven by strategic investments (50%).

2. Market-induced stagnation amid high put volumes (30%).

3. Decline due to economic or client-specific risks (20%).



Trading Oracle: Pursue Bullish Long Volatility strategy (link). Current high volatility and predicted positive return surface favor buying OOTM call options and selling further OOTM calls. This allows capitalizing on upside while managing risk effectively.


March 12, 2025


Amdocs Forecast

DOX        Amdocs

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DOX


PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (0.69)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.69)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (0.67)


MAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAS  Masco (0.67)


TRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRV  Travelers Companies (0.64)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DOX


  FERG   (0.0)


MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNSO  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.01)


DKL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKL  Delek Logistics Partners LP - Unit (0.01)


PRU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRU  Prudential Financial (0.02)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DOX


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.49)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.49)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.49)


FSLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSLR  First Solar (-0.6)


VNDA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNDA  Vanda Pharmaceuticals (-0.64)







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