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Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: The implied volatility drop, alongside high call trading volume, suggests potential bullish sentiment long-term, backed by Dynatrace's strong fundamentals and product innovation pipeline.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price declines indicate ongoing market uncertainty. Increased competition and macroeconomic challenges could further pressure Dynatrace, leading to potential downside.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 50%: Moderate growth on continued innovation.
  • 30%: Stagnation due to competition.
  • 20%: Decline from macroeconomic and sector pressures.



Trading Oracle: Leverage the Bearish Long Volatility strategy to capitalize on high implied volatility and potential downside risks. This approach balances risk with potential returns if volatility increases or the stock declines.


April 22, 2025


Dynatrace Forecast

DT        Dynatrace

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Assets that tend to move strongly with DT


PFGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PFGC  Performance Food (0.91)


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IWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.88)


UPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPST  Upstart (0.88)


AXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXP  American Express (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DT


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.0)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.0)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.01)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (-0.01)


PRAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRAA  PRA (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DT


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.76)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.77)


NKTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKTX  Nkarta (-0.77)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.78)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.8)







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