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AI DVOL Forecast

Bullish Case: A favorable macroeconomic outlook and potential ETF inflows could drive DVOL upwards. The implied volatility suggests strong market sentiment of a price rebound towards $35 with potential catalysts in the next quarter.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility indicates uncertainty, which may translate to downside risks, especially if market sentiment shifts negatively due to macroeconomic factors, pushing prices below $30, impacting option premiums and demand.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Price rise to $35: 40% chance due to positive trends.

2. Price flat around $30: 30% chance due to existing stability.

3. Price drop below $28: 30% chance from elevated volatility pressure.

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August 14, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DVOL

VIG Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.99)

XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.99)

HIG Hartford Financial Services (0.98)

SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility (0.98)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.98)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DVOL

WDAY Workday (-0.0)

HSY Hershey (0.01)

CSGP Costar Group (0.01)

NEP NextEra Energy (0.01)

IMAX Imax (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DVOL

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.94)

MED Medifast (-0.94)

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.97)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.98)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.98)

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