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EA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: EA's strong game portfolio, including record-breaking College Football 25, and strategic partnerships drive growth confidence despite slight volatility backwardation.

Bearish Case: Despite EA's successes, potential risks include regulatory scrutiny, high implied volatility, and social media skepticism impacting investor sentiment.

Potential Outcomes: EA's growth is supported by successful game launches (60%) but faces downside risks from competition and regulation (30%) and market share loss (10%).

Trading Oracle: Leverage EA's volatile term structure by trading debit spreads on 2025 $150 call options. Benefit from mean reversion and high call volume. Expect moderate price appreciation (1-2 month horizon) to exploit bullish skew.

January 05, 2025

Electronic Arts Forecast

EA Electronic Arts

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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BNED Barnes & Noble Education (0.74)

AX Axos Financial (0.73)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EA

JBLU Jetblue Airways (0.0)

GEL Genesis Energy (-0.0)

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.01)

SCHW Charles Schwab (-0.02)

PLBY PLBY (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EA

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.72)

NEP NextEra Energy (-0.73)

TRIP TripAdvisor (-0.75)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.76)

CORN Teucrium Corn (-0.8)

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