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EARN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: EARN's strategic position in mortgage-backed securities and attractive dividend yield could attract new investors, especially if interest rates stabilize, driving a modest price recovery.

Bearish Case: High volatility and historical negative returns suggest ongoing downside risks, with macroeconomic pressures like rising interest rates likely exacerbating EARN’s underperformance.

Potential Outcomes: Flat trading chance: 60% - Market sentiment and historical trends align.
Moderate decline chance: 25% - Continued economic pressures and high volatility.
Modest recovery chance: 15% - Dividend appeal in low-rate environment.

May 20, 2025

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EARN Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EARN

XRX Xerox (0.94)

ASH Ashland (0.92)

NVO Novo Nordisk (0.91)

CABA Cabaletta Bio (0.91)

ARR ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EARN

FE Firstenergy (0.01)

JBLU Jetblue Airways (0.02)

FCEL Fuelcell Energy (-0.02)

ROK Rockwell Automation (0.02)

IRM Iron Mountain (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EARN

PPL PPL (-0.82)

ORI Old Republic International (-0.83)

LRN Stride (-0.83)

UNM Unum (-0.83)

LNG Cheniere Energy (-0.83)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.