ECH Forecast


Bullish Case: Low long-term implied volatility suggests stabilization. Positive historical returns and mean-reverting tendencies indicate potential growth. Upcoming Chilean economic reforms boost optimism.


Bearish Case: High short-term implied volatility implies potential downward pressure. Past underperformance, combined with current macroeconomic uncertainties, could lead to further decline.


Potential Outcomes: Stabilization (40%), short-term decline due to volatility (40%), moderate recovery (20%). High near-term volatility and historical trends shaped these probabilities.


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July 13, 2024


iShares MSCI Chile Forecast

ECH      iShares MSCI Chile











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ECH



EVRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EVRG  Evergy (0.89)


AES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AES  AES (0.88)


POR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   POR  Portland General Electric (0.86)


ES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ES  Eversource Energy (0.84)


D Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   D  Dominion Energy (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ECH



RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (0.0)


WM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WM  Waste Management (-0.0)


KEY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KEY  Keycorp (-0.0)


MET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MET  Metlife (0.0)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ECH



AKAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKAM  Akamai (-0.5)


YANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YANG  Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.53)


HIBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIBS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bear 3X Shares (-0.56)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.59)


IONS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONS  Ionis Pharmaceuticals (-0.61)





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