EFV Forecast


Bullish Case: EFV's 20.5% increase over two years shows strong recovery. Historical data suggests a high likelihood of positive return over long periods.


Bearish Case: Recent price drops and flat movement signal caution. Implied volatility spikes indicate market uncertainty over EFV's short-term performance.


Potential Outcomes: Moderate uptrend: 50%. Continued volatility: 30%. Significant drop: 20%. Based on historical patterns and market sentiments.


Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread (long call vertical) between 55C and 60C expiring December 2024. This strategy leverages relatively low implied volatility and anticipates gradual price recovery with limited short-term risks.


June 28, 2024


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI EAFE Value Forecast

EFV      BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI EAFE Value











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FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (0.97)


FAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FAS  Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (0.97)


EFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EFA  BTC iShares MSCI EAFE (0.97)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EFV



SMAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMAR  Smartsheet (-0.0)


DE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DE  Deere (-0.0)


VIR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIR  Vir Biotechnology (0.0)


RH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RH  RH - (0.0)


NEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEP  NextEra Energy (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EFV



TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.93)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.93)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.95)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.96)





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