RH Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: RH's historical returns surface suggests potential for positive returns over 1-2 year holding periods, coupled with solid share buyback prospects, making a bullish case for long-term growth.


Bearish Case: Based on high implied volatility and the Helium forecast of a -0.75% price drop, alongside weak recent price performance, further downside risk remains significant for RH.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued flat trading near current levels (30%).

2. Downside due to bearish sentiment (50%).

3. Upside from share buyback and momentum (20%).


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June 18, 2024


RH - Forecast

RH      RH -











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RH



W Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   W  Wayfair (0.87)


KMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KMX  Carmax (0.82)


ES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ES  Eversource Energy (0.79)


BYND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYND  Beyond Meat (0.78)


NWL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NWL  Newell Brands (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RH



ITA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITA  BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (-0.0)


TTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTI  Tetra Technologies (0.0)


CCOI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCOI  Cogent Communications (-0.0)


RL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RL  Ralph Lauren (0.0)


WAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WAL  Western Alliance Bancorp (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RH



IMVT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMVT  Immunovant (-0.5)


PBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBR  Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras (-0.53)


ARLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARLP  Alliance Resource (-0.59)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.61)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.64)





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