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RH Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: RH's potential long-term growth is supported by elevated implied volatility levels and a favorable market view, alongside strategic supply chain adjustments.



Bearish Case: High recent implied volatility and elevated trading volume of put options suggest uncertainty and negative sentiment, pressured by tariff concerns and immediate market expectations.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Tariff impact continues leading to further decline (35%).
  • Share buyback stabilizes price (25%).
  • Market recovery as tariffs ease (20%).
  • Continued volatility with neutral effect on price (20%).


April 10, 2025


RH - Forecast

RH        RH -

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RH


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.9)


IWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.83)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.83)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.81)


AXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXP  American Express (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RH


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.0)


  FERG   (-0.0)


ADI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADI  Analog Devices (-0.0)


W Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   W  Wayfair (0.01)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RH


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.54)


GSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GSL  Global Ship Lease (-0.58)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.62)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.63)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.64)







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