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AI EMD Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Emerging markets are gaining traction with improving economic fundamentals and yield stability, potentially driving EMD returns upward, supported by high dividend yields.

Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and high inflation could deter global investment appetite, leading to significant sell-offs in emerging market assets and EMD price declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued price growth (40%): Stability in EM yields.

2. Risk of price drop (30%): New geopolitical crises emerge.

3. Stagnation (30%): Market remains jittery with minimal positive changes.

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September 05, 2024

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EMD Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EMD

RKT Rocket Companies (0.94)

RY Royal Bank Of Canada (0.93)

IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties (0.93)

IRM Iron Mountain (0.92)

VIG Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EMD

BAX Baxter International (-0.0)

RRC Range Resources (-0.0)

WY Weyerhaeuser (0.0)

OVV Ovintiv (-0.01)

CSGP Costar Group (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EMD

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.89)

TWM ProShares UltraShort Russell2000 (-0.9)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.91)

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.91)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)

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