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ENR Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: ENR's improved operational efficiency and stable pricing support a bullish outlook. Recent upticks imply potential for further growth due to market stabilization.

Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures and high debt levels pose risks to ENR's profitability. Historical volatility indicates potential downside with market fluctuations.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Regulatory interventions, 30% chance;

2. Sustained pricing and demand, 40% chance;

3. Competition impacts, 20% chance;

4. Price stabilization near $35, 10% chance.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by purchasing ENR $30 calls and selling $35 calls, targeting May 2025. Capitalize on current high implied volatility and historical mean reversion for high reward:risk.

January 01, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ENR

AUPH Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (0.84)

XEL Xcel Energy (0.79)

GILD Gilead Sciences (0.78)

IJH BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.78)

WMT Walmart (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ENR

SU Suncor Energy (0.0)

MSFT Microsoft (-0.01)

PARA Paramount Global (-0.01)

BAH Booz Allen Hamilton (0.01)

ACRE Ares Commercial Real Estate (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ENR

VLO Valero Energy (-0.69)

SMCI Super Micro Computer (-0.7)

STAA Staar Surgical (-0.7)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.71)

MPC Marathon Petroleum (-0.77)

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