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EPC Forecast

Bullish Case: EPC demonstrates strong institutional support and potential earnings beats. Its historically mean-reverting price action, combined with upcoming product launches, signals potential price upside as implied volatilities normalize.

Bearish Case: Recent market volatility remains high, with significant put volume indicating bearish sentiment. Continued economic headwinds could compress earnings expectations, risking price declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings surprise (40%) leading to price jump.

2. Continued volatility leading to flat returns (30%).

3. Major market sell-off affecting price (20%).

4. Disappointing earnings results (10%). Probabilities based on historical trends and volatility structures.

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October 13, 2024

Edgewell Personal Care Forecast

EPC Edgewell Personal Care

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EPC

VRNT Verint Systems (0.82)

ALLY Ally Financial (0.81)

CAMT Camtek (0.79)

MCK Mckesson (0.78)

SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EPC

BBIO BridgeBio Pharma (-0.0)

JD JD.com (0.0)

DINO HF Sinclair (0.0)

GFS GlobalFoundries (-0.0)

IMAX Imax (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EPC

PTLO Portillos (-0.66)

FWRD Forward Air (-0.67)

EXAS Exact Sciences (-0.68)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.72)

VIXM ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures (-0.73)

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