MCK Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: McKesson's sustained upward trend suggests continued robust earnings driven by innovations in AI and automation, supported by strong long-term returns potential and low implied volatility.


Bearish Case: Potential legal challenges and overvaluation concerns remain key risks, compounded by a high price-to-book ratio and insider selling that could dampen investor confidence.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 60% chance AI efficiencies drive growth;

2. 30% chance legal issues cause downturn;

3. 10% chance macro factors cause volatility. Predictions based on industry trends and historical data correlations.


Trading Oracle: Trade a bullish short volatility stance with MCK $580/$560 put spreads expiring in ~36 days. High profit probability, paired with favorable implied volatility metrics and robust historical performance indicates high potential returns. No fluff, just actionable alpha.


July 11, 2024


Mckesson Forecast

MCK      Mckesson











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MCK



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.85)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.39)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.83)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MCK



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.39)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.83)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.83)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.85)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MCK



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.85)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.39)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.83)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.83)





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