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EQNR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Increased demand for energy and potential geopolitical stabilization could drive up EQNR's price as mean reversion trends emerge. The forecasted higher volatility supports bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: Persistent geopolitical tensions and weak demand in energy sectors pose significant risks, potentially leading to further declines in EQNR's price, reinforced by high put trading volumes.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Price recovery due to positive sentiment: 30%.

2. Continued downtrend from geopolitical pressures: 35%.

3. Neutral trend persists at current levels: 35%.



Trading Oracle: Consider bearish credit spreads due to flat volatility. Sell 3 $26.00 strike call options and buy 8 $28.00 calls, aiming for an 85% probability of profit with high reward-to-risk ratio. Focus on short-term outlook (21 days).


October 27, 2024


Equinor ASA - Forecast

EQNR        Equinor ASA -

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