EXAI Forecast


Bullish Case: EXAI's AI-driven drug discovery platform, strong cash runway until 2027, and upcoming phase data for GTAEXS617 could drive significant stock appreciation. Layoffs will save $40M annually from 2025, improving margins.


Bearish Case: Exscientia faces legal troubles, substantial layoffs, and leadership turmoil impacting investor sentiment. Historical data shows high likelihood of negative returns over various holding periods.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Positive trial results (35%).

2) Operational efficiency gains (25%).

3) Continued legal problems and leadership issues (25%).

4) Price stagnation (15%). Probabilities are based on historical data and market trends.


Trading Oracle: Deploy bullish debit spreads. Buy EXAI Jan 17, 2025, $5.00 calls and sell $10.00 calls. Leverage IV skew and upcoming new data catalyst. High R:R, high probability of profit based on options analysis and market conditions. Maximize edge and alpha.


July 18, 2024


Exscientia Forecast

EXAI      Exscientia











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