EXC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: EXC's stable financials and consistent dividend yield support a positive outlook amid low implied volatility. Strategic moves towards renewable energy position it well for future growth, enhancing investor confidence.




Bearish Case: Persistent legal issues and insider selling present significant downside risks. Combined with low call option volumes and market skepticism, these factors could hinder short-term price growth despite stable financial metrics.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance legal issues depress stock further.
  • 30% mean reversion supports price stability.
  • 20% institutional interest uplifts stock.




Trading Oracle: Given EXC's stable but uncertain outlook due to legal issues and insider selling, a Bearish Short Volatility strategy is optimal. Sell ATM call options, buying more OTM calls. This aligns with current market dynamics, maximizing profit potential amidst heightened volatility.



April 25, 2025


Exelon Forecast

EXC        Exelon











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EXC



OGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGE  Oge Energy (0.83)


OUNZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUNZ  VanEck Merk Gold (0.82)


AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (0.81)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (0.75)


SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EXC



PLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLD  Prologis (0.0)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.0)


NLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NLR  VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy (0.01)


MRVL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRVL  Marvell Technology (0.01)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EXC



RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.73)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.74)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.76)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.77)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (-0.79)









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