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FA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: FA's higher implied volatility may indicate upcoming positive news or events. Historical returns suggest a likelihood of gains over longer holding periods, supporting a potential upward trend.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and negligible trading volumes signal cautious sentiment. Recent price instability hints at possible downside risk, exacerbated by macroeconomic uncertainties.

Potential Outcomes: Recovery to $19.50 (30%); continued stagnation around $18.24 (50%); drop below $17 (20%). Outcomes influenced by volatility trends and macro conditions.

Trading Oracle: Utilize a bearish short straddle strategy at the $15 strike for July 2025 expiration to capture premium decay. FA's high implied volatilities and flat outlook enhance this position's probability of profit.

February 22, 2025

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Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FA

BIP Brookfield Infrastructure (0.82)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.81)

CLH Clean Harbors (0.81)

RY Royal Bank Of Canada (0.79)

TT Trane (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FA

SCHW Charles Schwab (0.0)

XPOF Xponential Fitness (-0.0)

DKL Delek Logistics Partners LP - Unit (0.0)

JOE St. Joe (0.0)

FND Floor & Decor (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FA

HES Hess (-0.63)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.66)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.66)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.68)

SAGE Sage Therapeutics (-0.69)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.