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AI FA Forecast

Bullish Case: The implied volatility surface indicates elevated future uncertainty, which could signify upcoming positive news for FA. Historical data shows likelihoods of solid returns over longer periods, supported by a potentially recovering housing market.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility suggests significant market uncertainty, which can lead to sharp declines. The historical return surface reveals considerable likelihood of negative returns in the short term, reflecting possible ongoing challenges within the company.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive market recovery (40%) from housing policies.

2. Continued flat performance (50%) with no meaningful changes.

3. Increased downside risk (10%) if volatility leads to rapid sell-offs in options.

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August 13, 2024

First Advantage Forecast

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Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FA

SLNO Soleno Therapeutics (0.86)

UWMC UWM Holdings Corporation (0.82)

FNF Fidelity National Financial (0.81)

MELI MercadoLibre (0.81)

LC LendingClub (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FA

SNY Sanofi (0.0)

SBAC SBA Communications (-0.0)

MDB MongoDB (-0.0)

GPN Global Payments (0.0)

AQN Algonquin Power & Utilities (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FA

LIT Global X Lithium & Battery Tech (-0.73)

TALO Talos Energy (-0.73)

GO Grocery Outlet (-0.73)

KOS Kosmos Energy (-0.73)

APA Apache (-0.75)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.