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FA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The FA Historical Price Return Surface indicates higher positive return likelihood, supported by potentially favorable housing market developments.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and backwardation suggest continued market uncertainty and potential downside risks, as recent trends indicate.

Potential Outcomes: Continued flat performance: 50% - supported by mean reversion.
Upside gains: 30% - housing market and volatility hint at growth opportunities.
Downside risks: 20% - high volatility and volume concerns persist.

June 20, 2025

First Advantage Forecast

FA First Advantage

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FA

BIP Brookfield Infrastructure (0.8)

IRM Iron Mountain (0.8)

MIDU Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3x Shares (0.76)

DXC DXC Technology (0.75)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.75)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FA

AMGN AMGEN (0.0)

KLAC KLA (-0.0)

FTNT Fortinet (-0.01)

CHCT Community Healthcare (-0.01)

LI Li Auto (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FA

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.43)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (-0.44)

ACMR ACM Research (-0.47)

OKTA Okta (-0.58)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.61)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.