FA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Implied volatility suggests potential positive catalysts for FA, with historical data indicating a likelihood of positive returns over longer holding periods. Potential growth in the HR tech sector supports upward momentum.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility reflects uncertainty, with historical returns indicating possible downside. Social media critiques of FA's services could pressure stock performance amidst competitive market dynamics.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Flat Performance (50%): Persisting due to historical mean reversion and low volumes.
  • Upward Surprise (30%): Driven by HR sector growth and potential positive catalysts.
  • Downside Risk (20%): Fueled by high volatility and market competition.



May 08, 2025


First Advantage Forecast

FA        First Advantage











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FA



DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (0.82)


BIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIP  Brookfield Infrastructure (0.8)


IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (0.79)


EXAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXAS  Exact Sciences (0.79)


KIM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KIM  Kimco Realty (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FA



HOOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOOD  Robinhood Markets (-0.0)


FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (-0.0)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.0)


KLAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KLAC  KLA (-0.0)


BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FA



GFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GFI  Gold Fields (-0.51)


NTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTR  Nutrien (-0.51)


ACMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACMR  ACM Research (-0.52)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.56)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.65)









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