FA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The growing housing market and supportive policies may drive FA's stock higher. Historical data suggests reasonable upward momentum over extended periods.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent negative returns suggest significant downside risks. Market skepticism and competition concerns may affect FA negatively.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Continued Stagnation (60%): The trend of flat trading persists.
  2. Moderate Upward Movement (25%): Positive housing policy developments drive gains.
  3. Volatility Leading to Decline (15%): High implied volatility leads to further downside.



April 05, 2025


First Advantage Forecast

FA        First Advantage











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FA



BIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIP  Brookfield Infrastructure (0.82)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.81)


RY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RY  Royal Bank Of Canada (0.79)


HIW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIW  Highwoods Properties (0.75)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FA



ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (-0.0)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (-0.01)


TAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAN  Invesco Solar (-0.02)


LIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LIT  Global X Lithium & Battery Tech (-0.03)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FA



SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.55)


GROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GROY  Gold Royalty (-0.55)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (-0.55)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.58)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.69)









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