FA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The growing housing market and supportive policies may drive FA's stock higher. Historical data suggests reasonable upward momentum over extended periods.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent negative returns suggest significant downside risks. Market skepticism and competition concerns may affect FA negatively.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Continued Stagnation (60%): The trend of flat trading persists.
  2. Moderate Upward Movement (25%): Positive housing policy developments drive gains.
  3. Volatility Leading to Decline (15%): High implied volatility leads to further downside.



April 05, 2025


First Advantage Forecast

FA        First Advantage











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DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (0.78)


EXAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXAS  Exact Sciences (0.75)


BKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKE  Buckle (0.73)


RY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RY  Royal Bank Of Canada (0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FA



ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (-0.0)


RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (0.01)


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.01)


WMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMG  Warner Music (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FA



GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.49)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.55)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (-0.55)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.58)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.69)









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