FAST Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Consistent demand in non-residential construction and low Helium implied volatility suggest optimism, enhanced by steady dividend policies.




Bearish Case: Market saturation and increasing competition pose risks, with elevated implied volatility indicating caution among investors.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Flat trading continues: 50%
  • Price appreciation due to demand growth: 30%
  • Decline from market pressures: 20%




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May 21, 2025


Fastenal Forecast

FAST        Fastenal











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FAST



ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (0.84)


EWC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWC  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Canada (0.83)


TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TW  Tradeweb Markets (0.82)


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (0.81)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FAST



SLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLS  SELLAS Life Sciences (0.0)


SMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMG  Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.01)


SG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SG  Sweetgreen (-0.01)


ULTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ULTA  Ulta Beauty (-0.01)


BEPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEPC  Brookfield Renewable (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FAST



XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.76)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.76)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.76)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.77)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.81)









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