FAST Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: FAST shows strong resilience with a 67% higher bullish risk profile and robust call option volume, indicating market confidence in positive price movement.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility suggests caution among investors, with potential market saturation and competition risk evident in social trends.




Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of flat trading; 30% likelihood of price increase due to construction growth; 20% decline risk from market pressures.




Trading Oracle:

Utilize Bullish Short Volatility strategy by selling ATM put options and buying OOTM puts. This strategy leverages the 67% bullish risk advantage, optimizing for a balanced risk-return scenario. Current conditions with a stable mean-reversion and call volume support its potential.



April 22, 2025


Fastenal Forecast

FAST        Fastenal











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FAST



ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (0.86)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (0.84)


CRH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRH  CRH Plc (0.83)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (0.83)


TGNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGNA  TEGNA (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FAST



CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (-0.01)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.01)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.01)


FCEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCEL  Fuelcell Energy (0.03)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FAST



XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.76)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.77)


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (-0.77)


CLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLW  Clearwater Paper (-0.8)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.81)









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