AI FDNI Forecast

Bullish Case: Recent stability in FDNI's price combined with historical positive returns indicates a possible upward trajectory. High implied volatility suggests potential for significant price movements, favoring bullish opportunities in the near term.


Bearish Case: Current flat trading behavior and high implied volatility may signal a lack of momentum, increasing the risk of downward price movement. Market uncertainties could exacerbate potential declines, especially if macroeconomic factors worsen.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 30% chance of gradual upward price movement fueled by positive historical returns.

2. 25% likelihood of significant downturn due to rising market tensions.

3. 20% chance of moderate growth based on historical performance.

4. 15% chance of sharp volatility spikes.

5. 10% probability of rapid recovery from recent stagnation.


Trading Oracle: Consider a debit spread targeting strikes around $25-$27 for October expiration, leveraging high implied volatility. This strategy allows for a low-cost entry with high upside potential if FDNI trends upwards. Maintain a cautious stance, monitoring macroeconomic indicators.


September 25, 2024


First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund II - First Trust Dow Jones International Internet Forecast

FDNI        First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund II - First Trust Dow Jones International Internet











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