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AI FM Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: The current implied volatility is notably high, suggesting potential for significant upward price movements. Historical data show positive long-term returns with decreasing volatility expected over time, reinforcing a bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: Geopolitical instability continues to loom large, with current high implied volatility indicating market fear. Historical trends suggest potential declines in the near term as uncertainty affects investor sentiment.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% chance of moderate price increase as volatility declines and market stabilizes.

2. 30% chance of sharp decline due to external geopolitical shocks.

3. 20% chance of sideways movement as uncertainty persists.

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October 13, 2024

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Anticorrelated Assets

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VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.79)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.79)

FWRD Forward Air (-0.83)

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