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FNF Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: FNF benefits from strategic acquisitions and resilient market positioning. Strong demand reflected in call volume, coupled with low volatility, points to potential positive price movement.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and concerns over economic uncertainty and regulatory risks suggest downside pressure if market sentiment shifts negatively.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of moderate growth driven by strategic execution and demand.
  • 35% chance of decline due to macroeconomic issues and regulatory risks.
  • 25% likelihood of stable performance balancing opposing pressures.



Trading Oracle: Given FNF's low market implied volatility and bullish sentiment, Bullish Long Volatility strategy by buying OOTM call options and selling fewer further OOTM call options is chosen. This strategy capitalizes on potential upside from strategic initiatives while managing risk from volatility changes.


April 19, 2025


Fidelity National Financial Forecast

FNF        Fidelity National Financial

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FNF


HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (0.95)


SCHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHD  Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.9)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (0.87)


TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TW  Tradeweb Markets (0.84)


PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FNF


ZROZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZROZ  PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded (-0.0)


LU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LU  Lufax Holding Ltd (-0.01)


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (-0.01)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (-0.02)


STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FNF


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.77)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.78)


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (-0.8)


CLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLW  Clearwater Paper (-0.83)


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (-0.85)







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