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FOXA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: FOXA's mean-reverting history and Tubi's user growth to 97 million suggest resilience. This supports potential upside, alongside a price increase of 56.4% over two years.

Bearish Case: Fox faces ongoing legal issues and political scrutiny, creating potential downward pressure. Implied volatility backwardation indicates possible short-term risk, threatening stability.

Potential Outcomes: Market rebound due to Fox's strategic streaming gains (40%).
Regulatory/legal setbacks affect stock, inducing decline (30%).
Lack of strong catalysts leads to range-bound movement (30%).

Trading Oracle: Enter a debit spread by buying $53.5 calls and selling $54.5 calls, expiring in 30 days. This bullish strategy leverages FOXA's recent price momentum and expected mean reversion, with controlled risk due to volatility uncertainty.

February 07, 2025

Fox Corporation - Forecast

FOXA Fox Corporation -

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FOXA

EOLS Evolus (-0.01)

LEN Lennar (0.02)

AMC AMC Entertainment (0.02)

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FOXA

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IEP Icahn (-0.94)

LEA Lear (-0.95)

COTY Coty (-0.96)

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